Aquaculture historical case studies: Chile, Thailand and Ecuador

Farmed production, health shocks and procurement decisions: historical evidence, not forecasts or guarantees.

Historical case studies: what past shocks mean for procurement

Farmed production only, from FAO FishStat, Global aquaculture production, release 2025.1.0 (CC BY 4.0). Values marked “I” are FAO-imputed. These are planning lessons, not forecasts.

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Chile salmon, 2007–2011: a disease shock and recovery

FAO farmed production, Chile, Salmons, trouts, smelts, tonnes live weight
YearTonnesFAO flag
2008630,647I
2009605,566official
2010466,857I
2012817,672official

Infectious salmon anaemia (ISA) was confirmed in farmed Atlantic salmon in Chile in 2007. FAO records Chile's farmed salmonid output falling to about 467,000 t in 2010, then exceeding the pre-crisis level by 2012. The FAO series combines all salmonid species, so it understates the Atlantic-salmon-specific drop.

Procurement lessons

  • Budget biosecurity (site separation, disinfection, fallowing capacity) as core scope, not an optional extra.
  • Ask suppliers how equipment supports zone management and fallowing between cohorts.
  • Stress-test cash flow for one or more years of reduced harvest before committing to CAPEX.

Limits: 2008 and 2010 are FAO-imputed values (flag I). This is not a causal model; markets, regulation and other diseases also affected output.

Source: Godoy et al. (2008), First detection of ISA virus associated with clinical disease in farmed Atlantic salmon in Chile, BMC Veterinary Research 4:28

Thailand shrimp, 2012–2016: early mortality syndrome

FAO farmed production, Thailand, Shrimps, prawns, tonnes live weight
YearTonnesFAO flag
2012609,552official
2013325,395official
2014279,907official
2016327,561official

Early mortality syndrome (EMS), later identified as acute hepatopancreatic necrosis disease (AHPND), spread through Asian shrimp farming from 2009. FAO records Thailand's farmed shrimp output falling from about 610,000 t in 2012 to about 280,000 t in 2014, with only partial recovery by 2016.

Procurement lessons

  • Treat postlarvae health certification and hatchery traceability as a purchasing requirement.
  • Compare designs with nursery stages, water treatment and pond preparation, not grow-out area alone.
  • Plan survival in scenarios rather than assuming one fixed rate.

Limits: FAO groups all farmed shrimps and prawns together. The page states timing only; it does not attribute the full decline to one cause.

Source: FAO (2013), Report of the FAO/MARD Technical Workshop on Early Mortality Syndrome (EMS) or Acute Hepatopancreatic Necrosis Syndrome (AHPNS) of Cultured Shrimp, FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Report No. 1053

Ecuador shrimp, 2010–2023: sustained expansion

FAO farmed production, Ecuador, Shrimps, prawns, tonnes live weight
YearTonnesFAO flag
2010223,313official
2015403,000official
2020760,879official
20231,220,200I

FAO records Ecuador's farmed shrimp output rising more than fivefold between 2010 and 2023, to about 1.22 million t. The FAO data show the scale of growth only; they do not explain which practices drove it.

Procurement lessons

  • Fast-growing markets raise demand for aerators, feeders, power and processing — check lead times and spare-part supply early.
  • Expansion projects should size electricity, water exchange and logistics for the target biomass, not today's.
  • Compare suppliers on service presence in the country, not price alone.

Limits: 2023 is an FAO-imputed value (flag I). Growth in one country does not predict returns for a new project.

Full buyer guide: planning through commissioning

Pond design layouts & equipment recommendations

Estimate your pond budget from size, species and feed price

Pond geometry: water volume, aeration & FCR formulas

Check your own water, biomass and feed scenario

Country production history is not a farm design input. Use your own measured dimensions, peak biomass and feed records; calculator starting values are illustrative, not facts from these case studies.

1. Pond volume

Calculate water capacity in m³, litres and US gallons from dimensions in metres or feet, with a side-slope option for earthen ponds.

Vertical walls: length × width × depth. Sloped banks use the prismoidal formula; irregular ponds need a surveyed volume.

Pond gallons calculator & water volume

2. Stocking density

Divide peak fish biomass in kg by usable water volume in m³, then check the published guidance available for your species, life stage and system.

kg/m³ is a biomass measure, not shrimp per m². Missing guidance is shown explicitly; a published limit is not a site-specific safety approval.

Open stocking density calculator

3. Fish & shrimp FCR

Compare feed used with biomass gained over the same period, then compare against your own target FCR and quoted feed price.

FCR = feed ÷ (ending − starting biomass). Account for transfers, harvests and mortality in your records; zero or negative gain cannot produce a valid FCR.

Open FCR calculator

4. Shrimp operating cost

Compare feed, seed, electricity and annual fixed operating costs per harvested kg using your records and dated quotes—not national production totals or invented market prices.

Cost/kg = annual cash OPEX ÷ harvested kg. USD inputs; starting values are illustrative. Excludes investment, depreciation and financing.

Open shrimp cost calculator

5. Aeration demand & power

Estimate oxygen load, aeration kW, unit count and energy from your peak biomass, feeding rate, oxygen factor and tested transfer efficiency.

Planning estimate: feed-derived average oxygen demand plus your margin is not a measured worst-hour demand. Clean-water SAE is not field performance; sediment and plankton demand, circulation and independent backup need engineering review.

Open aeration calculator

6. RAS energy & electricity cost

Use the standalone farm energy calculator for your RAS: enter the connected pump, blower, filtration and temperature-control load, measured load factor, operating hours, annual harvest and dated electricity tariff.

kWh/year = connected kW × load factor × hours/day × days/year. Divide by harvested kg for kWh/kg. Illustrative starting values are not RAS benchmarks; purchased oxygen, backup fuel, demand charges and investment are excluded.

Open RAS energy cost calculator

7. Equipment cost by package

Split an equipment budget into aeration, pumping, filtration, feeding, monitoring and biosecurity packages so each can be quoted separately.

Starting values are indicative planning ratios, not verified market prices or FAO data; replace them with dated supplier quotes.

Open equipment cost calculator

Turn these lessons into a plan with the free project planner or define your project for a human-reviewed request (projects from USD 250,000).

Short answer

What is the fastest way to get quotes for Aquaculture Historical Case Studies?

Submit one structured request for Aquaculture Historical Case Studies. FishMatch Group translates it into a technical RFQ, runs a confidential sourcing round with project-matched international suppliers, and returns comparable quotations. No fee is charged to the buyer, and your identity and project details stay private until you choose to proceed.

How it works:
One structured request, human-reviewed before any supplier outreach
Typical turnaround:
Depends on scope and site data; no turnaround is guaranteed
Confidentiality:
Supplier names are never exposed during evaluation
Cost to buyers:
No fee charged to the buyer
What is the fastest way to get quotes for Aquaculture Historical Case Studies?

Submit one structured request for Aquaculture Historical Case Studies. FishMatch Group translates it into a technical RFQ, runs a confidential sourcing round with project-matched international suppliers, and returns comparable quotations. No fee is charged to the buyer, and your identity and project details stay private until you choose to proceed.

How does FishMatch Group source suppliers for this requirement?

You submit one structured request. We translate it into a technical RFQ, run it against qualified manufacturers and integrators in the relevant categories, and return normalised quotations you can compare side by side on scope, lead time and total cost of ownership.

Do buyers see supplier names during the sourcing process?

No. Supplier identities stay confidential during discovery and evaluation. You receive anonymised, comparable technical and commercial packages, and introductions happen only after both sides are qualified and agree to proceed.